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Market Mix Modeling for a Retailer​

Quick Service Restaurant
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Business Situation

A leading omnichannel retailer in the QSR/Retail sector faced significant challenges in optimizing their marketing strategies. Key challenges included quantifying the effectiveness of various marketing channels, understanding the impact of loyalty programs on sales and customer retention, and attributing sales to long-term brand equity vs. short-term campaigns. Additionally, the client lacked clarity on cross-channel synergies, which hindered efficient budget allocation and ROI optimization.

SGA Approach

  • Gathered historical data on sales, marketing expenses, customer acquisition costs, and loyalty program metrics
  • Combined internal data with external factors like seasonality, holidays, and macroeconomic indicators for a holistic analysis
  • Quantified each marketing channel’s contribution to sales using regression models with Adstock transformations to account for carryover effects
  • Modeled cross-channel synergies (e.g., TV ads driving online traffic) using interaction terms in the regression model ​
  • Segmented customers into loyalty members and non-members to measure incremental revenue through purchase frequency, average order value (AOV), and customer lifetime value (CLTV)
  • Built a Power BI-based tool to simulate budget reallocations across channels, enabling ‘what-if’ scenario testing for optimal marketing spend allocation

Key Takeaways

  • Strategic budget reallocation increased marketing efficiency, resulting in a 14% improvement in ROI.​
  • Insights into loyalty program effectiveness led to a 20% increase in revenue from loyalty members.​
  • TV ads were found to drive significant online search traffic, enabling better coordination between traditional and digital campaigns.

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Quick Service Restaurant

About SG Analytics

SG Analytics is a leading global data solutions firm providing data-centric research and contextual analytics services to its clients, including Fortune 500 companies, across the Financial Services, Technology, Media & Entertainment, and Healthcare sectors. Established in 2007 and a Great Place to Work certified company, SGA has over 1600 employees and has a presence across the US, the UK, Switzerland, Poland, and India.

Besides being recognized by analyst firms such as Gartner, Everest Group, and ISG, SGA has been part of the elite Deloitte Technology Fast 50 India 2024 and APAC (Asia Pacific) 2025 High Growth Companies by the Financial Times & Statista.

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